Excerpts from three case-study special reports, exactly as researched and charted. They are built from sample documents, not a client’s files; the numbers are the real market data from the day each edition was produced.
Why Bitcoin can belong in a portfolio, and the levels to buy it at. A fixed supply, a wall of energy and Wall Street finally allocating, with the case against laid out just as clearly.
$1 in the S&P 500, with and without a Bitcoin sleeve
// Jul 2020 to Nov 2026, rebalanced monthly, before taxes and fees. Our backtest on Yahoo Finance data.
// Past results do not predict future returns. Illustrative, not advice.
A 6% cash account looks like the answer. After federal and California tax, every cash option tested loses buying power. The report finds where income still beats inflation, and what risk you take to get it.
| Since Aug 2020 | Growth | Worst drop | $100k now* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 6.7x | -77% | ~$354k |
| S&P 500 | 2.5x | -25% | ~$148k |
| 26-week T-bills | – | 0% | loses buying power |
// *After CA tax and inflation. Held 4+ years, every monthly start beat inflation for all three risk assets. Illustrative, not advice.
For a century the dollar was anchored to what the world could not do without: first gold, then oil. Both anchors are loosening. This report traces where money moved at each turn, and what the next scarce input looks like.
| Chapter | The turn |
|---|---|
| 1. The gold era | 1934: the dollar cut to 59% of its gold value |
| 2. The petrodollar era | Aug 15, 1971: the gold window closes; oil becomes the anchor |
| 3. The oil anchor loosens | US shale and a falling dollar share of reserves |
| 4. The compute thesis | Compute and power as the next scarce input |
| 5. Where the money moved | Winners and losers at each turn |
// Sources: Federal Reserve History, IMF, NY Fed.
Every report ships with a two-host audio version scripted from the same research. Here is the opening of The Scarcity Engine, about one minute.
Two hosts · 55 seconds · sample
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